Memory Chip Cycle Tracker

Memory Chip Cycle Tracker: Semiconductor and Memory Index

Equal-weight USD index, rebased to 100.0 on the first trading day of 2026. It covers AI photonics, InP and GaAs substrates, HBM memory, AI cloud infrastructure, and European semiconductor candidates.

+391.5%
Annualized return
Index Level261.1
YTD Return+161.1%
Base2026-01-02

2026 Performance Curve

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Latest--
YTD Return--
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----Weekly close points, USD index · Index CSV · Benchmark CSV · Lightweight Charts by TradingView

Top contributors since the base date are SIVE.ST, AXTI, AAOI, MU, RPI.L. The only constituent still below the base-date mark is IREN.

Constituents

Heatmap color shows each constituent's 2026 return from the index base date. Tile area shows current drifted portfolio weight after returns, assuming no rebalance from the initial equal-weight basket.

TickerLatest USDCurrent weightThemeStatus
AAOIAnalysis132.819.9%800G and 1.6T optical modulesWeak
LITEAnalysis813.516.2%AI optics lasers CPO and OCS optionCore watch
AXTIAnalysis73.8113.0%InP and GaAs substratesOrder hit
COHRAnalysis325.154.9%AI optics lasers and InP demand signalCandidate
POETAnalysis8.563.5%Optical interposer and photonic integrationHigh beta
MTSIAnalysis297.035.0%Datacom RF and optical chipsQuality watch
MUAnalysis861.008.1%HBM and AI memory bottleneckFundamental hit
NBISSignals184.116.0%AI cloud and GPU capacityVolatile core
IRENSignals38.742.7%AI cloud power and GPU buildoutExecution watch
APLDSignals29.063.0%AI data-center landlord and leasesFinancing watch
XFAB.PAAnalysis8.103.9%Silicon photonics and mixed-signal foundryEurope
SIVE.STAnalysis4.2526.9%Photonics and wireless semiconductorsExtreme beta
RPI.LSignals9.386.9%Edge compute and maker ecosystemAdjacent

Index Rules

Methodology: equal-weight at each rebalance, USD-denominated, and reviewed daily after the automated update. The page and constituents CSV show current drifted weights before rebalance. US stocks use USD closes directly. XFAB.PA, SIVE.ST, and RPI.L use historical EURUSD, SEKUSD, and GBPUSD conversion; RPI.L is converted from GBX to GBP first.

Latest curve point: 2026-08-10. Price source: Yahoo Finance chart data for stocks and FX pairs. Benchmark comparison lines extend through the latest available US close on 2026-08-10. CSV files: history, constituents, benchmarks

Methodology and Use

What the index measures

The basket is built around public-market AI infrastructure bottlenecks: optical connectivity, memory bandwidth, compound-semiconductor substrates, and AI cloud capacity. It is designed as a monitoring index, not as an investable benchmark.

How to read changes

Large moves should be checked against orders, backlog, revenue conversion, gross margin, dilution, customer concentration, and valuation. A rising index without reported revenue confirmation should be treated as expectations-driven.

Related research: AI photonics stocks, AAOI 800G optical module tracker, LITE AI optics index, MU HBM memory cycle, and Serenity Agility Robotics Stock-Picking Methodology.

FAQ

What stocks are included?

AAOI, LITE, AXTI, COHR, POET, MTSI, MU, NBIS, IREN, APLD, XFAB.PA, SIVE.ST, and RPI.L.

Is the index equal weighted?

Yes. Each constituent starts at 7.69%, then current portfolio weights drift with relative performance until the next rebalance.

Why is the base date 2026-01-02?

January 1, 2026 was not a regular trading day. The first full data date is 2026-01-02.

Where is the raw data?

The page links to CSV files for index history and constituents, both hosted under the stable /data/ path.

Related Research

The “4x + 2-Year Gap” and U.S. semiconductor investors · AI infrastructure research chain · advanced packaging and memory bottlenecks

DisclaimerThis site is for research, education, and information display only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, a recommendation, or a trading instruction. Index levels, constituent weights, returns, X-signal summaries, and article analysis may be incomplete, delayed, or inaccurate. Public equities involve risk, including loss of principal. Always verify primary sources and consult a qualified adviser before making investment decisions.