Equal-weight USD index, rebased to 100.0 on the first trading day of 2026. It covers AI photonics, InP and GaAs substrates, HBM memory, AI cloud infrastructure, and European semiconductor candidates.
Memory Chip Cycle Tracker: Semiconductor and Memory Index
2026 Performance Curve
Top contributors since the base date are SIVE.ST, AXTI, AAOI, MU, RPI.L. The only constituent still below the base-date mark is IREN.
Constituents
Heatmap color shows each constituent's 2026 return from the index base date. Tile area shows current drifted portfolio weight after returns, assuming no rebalance from the initial equal-weight basket.
| Ticker | Latest USD | Current weight | Theme | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOIAnalysis | 132.81 | 9.9% | 800G and 1.6T optical modules | Weak |
| LITEAnalysis | 813.51 | 6.2% | AI optics lasers CPO and OCS option | Core watch |
| AXTIAnalysis | 73.81 | 13.0% | InP and GaAs substrates | Order hit |
| COHRAnalysis | 325.15 | 4.9% | AI optics lasers and InP demand signal | Candidate |
| POETAnalysis | 8.56 | 3.5% | Optical interposer and photonic integration | High beta |
| MTSIAnalysis | 297.03 | 5.0% | Datacom RF and optical chips | Quality watch |
| MUAnalysis | 861.00 | 8.1% | HBM and AI memory bottleneck | Fundamental hit |
| NBISSignals | 184.11 | 6.0% | AI cloud and GPU capacity | Volatile core |
| IRENSignals | 38.74 | 2.7% | AI cloud power and GPU buildout | Execution watch |
| APLDSignals | 29.06 | 3.0% | AI data-center landlord and leases | Financing watch |
| XFAB.PAAnalysis | 8.10 | 3.9% | Silicon photonics and mixed-signal foundry | Europe |
| SIVE.STAnalysis | 4.25 | 26.9% | Photonics and wireless semiconductors | Extreme beta |
| RPI.LSignals | 9.38 | 6.9% | Edge compute and maker ecosystem | Adjacent |
Index Rules
Methodology: equal-weight at each rebalance, USD-denominated, and reviewed daily after the automated update. The page and constituents CSV show current drifted weights before rebalance. US stocks use USD closes directly. XFAB.PA, SIVE.ST, and RPI.L use historical EURUSD, SEKUSD, and GBPUSD conversion; RPI.L is converted from GBX to GBP first.
Latest curve point: 2026-08-10. Price source: Yahoo Finance chart data for stocks and FX pairs. Benchmark comparison lines extend through the latest available US close on 2026-08-10. CSV files: history, constituents, benchmarks
Methodology and Use
What the index measures
The basket is built around public-market AI infrastructure bottlenecks: optical connectivity, memory bandwidth, compound-semiconductor substrates, and AI cloud capacity. It is designed as a monitoring index, not as an investable benchmark.
How to read changes
Large moves should be checked against orders, backlog, revenue conversion, gross margin, dilution, customer concentration, and valuation. A rising index without reported revenue confirmation should be treated as expectations-driven.
Related research: AI photonics stocks, AAOI 800G optical module tracker, LITE AI optics index, MU HBM memory cycle, and Serenity Agility Robotics Stock-Picking Methodology.
FAQ
What stocks are included?
AAOI, LITE, AXTI, COHR, POET, MTSI, MU, NBIS, IREN, APLD, XFAB.PA, SIVE.ST, and RPI.L.
Is the index equal weighted?
Yes. Each constituent starts at 7.69%, then current portfolio weights drift with relative performance until the next rebalance.
Why is the base date 2026-01-02?
January 1, 2026 was not a regular trading day. The first full data date is 2026-01-02.
Where is the raw data?
The page links to CSV files for index history and constituents, both hosted under the stable /data/ path.
Related Research
The “4x + 2-Year Gap” and U.S. semiconductor investors · AI infrastructure research chain · advanced packaging and memory bottlenecks